Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.159919 0.182342 0.207303 0.237242 0.272297 0.312188 0.361224
2025-12-14 0.123863 0.153352 0.189477 0.237398 0.299907 0.379517 0.489933
2025-12-21 0.102545 0.134649 0.176796 0.237032 0.322313 0.440883 0.622057
2025-12-28 0.090078 0.123979 0.171045 0.242570 0.351040 0.513619 0.784100
2026-01-04 0.080247 0.114842 0.165166 0.245730 0.375369 0.582927 0.955632
2026-01-11 0.072623 0.107511 0.160378 0.249006 0.399427 0.655214 1.148375
2026-01-18 0.067128 0.102488 0.158110 0.255432 0.429081 0.741821 1.387911
2026-01-25 0.061498 0.096442 0.153236 0.256434 0.448992 0.814328 1.618760
2026-02-01 0.056521 0.090808 0.148212 0.256193 0.466201 0.884597 1.863633
2026-02-08 0.051875 0.085171 0.142426 0.253570 0.478115 0.946253 2.106408
2026-02-15 0.047744 0.079962 0.136741 0.250227 0.487818 1.004902 2.359013
2026-02-22 0.045385 0.077618 0.135917 0.256117 0.517584 1.113839 2.773266
2026-03-01 0.041902 0.072950 0.130368 0.251969 0.525445 1.175263 3.084857
2026-03-08 0.039416 0.069896 0.127577 0.253205 0.545830 1.272254 3.536193
2026-03-15 0.037028 0.066791 0.124337 0.253004 0.562823 1.364779 4.010803
2026-03-22 0.035507 0.065208 0.123951 0.259014 0.596030 1.508898 4.716346
2026-03-29 0.033866 0.063228 0.122522 0.262430 0.623357 1.643858 5.452733
2026-04-05 0.032375 0.061408 0.121228 0.265966 0.651721 1.789689 6.302652
2026-04-12 0.031283 0.060303 0.121340 0.272903 0.690779 1.979780 7.434421
2026-04-19 0.029813 0.058275 0.119213 0.273984 0.713589 2.124346 8.453552
2026-04-26 0.028363 0.056165 0.116693 0.273724 0.732521 2.261776 9.524028
2026-05-03 0.026849 0.053795 0.113354 0.270892 0.743245 2.373927 10.542494
2026-05-10 0.025404 0.051463 0.109888 0.267285 0.750985 2.478068 11.590862